Comparison of CSX's Shipping Volume to the S&P 500's Performance
Stock, Alexander M.
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The world of finance incorporates large volumes of information to speculate the approximate value of a company?s stock within the near future. Additionally, analysts attempt to determine the overall status of an economy using figure such as job growth, GDP, and spending. It was postulated that measuring the changes in goods shipment volume could predict the United States economic status as compared to the Standard and Poor?s 500 index performance. A panel of experts were used to evaluate industry sectors as to their impact on the S&P 500. This data was incorporated with CSX shipping volumes within those industries using the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), Guiasu, and Yen fuzzy set mathematics to predict percentage changes of the S&P 500 over each quarter. It was discovered that the S&P 500 is actually an indicator of how the railroad industry will perform approximately a quarter later.